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A Horse to Follow – Strangely Brown
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online-betting A Horse to Follow – Strangely Brown

Hardest-working man in Horseracing and moderator to the stars Gulf King highlights a four-year-old with stellar potential.

Strangely Brown (4-Y-O) – is without a doubt one of the stars of the future and this is why I think so.

We have to look at his story so far and make an assessment of the best conditions that suit the horse and when he is most likely to reproduce his best form or improve.

Date

Course

Distance

Going

Class

Race Type

Value

Weight

Finish posn.

18-Jun-05

Aut

20

VSft

 

4yG1H

73K

10-6

1/11

28-Apr-05

Pun

16

Sft

 

4yG1H

48K

11-0

2/7

07-Apr-05

Ain

17

GS

A

4yG1NvH

69K

11-0

3/12

18-Mar-05

Chl

17

Gd

A

4yG1H

58K

11-0

6/23

06-Feb-05

Leo

16

Sft

 

4yG2H

25K

11-3

1/6

15-Jan-05

Pun

16

Hy

 

4yG3H

15K

10-7

1/9

28-Dec-04

Lim

16

Hy

 

3yMdH

6K

10-7

1/14

19-Oct-04

Bat

17

Sft

cl5

3yHc

3K

9-12

4/8

26-Sep-04

Mus

16

GF

cl4

Hc

6K

8-13

3/6

17-Sep-04

Ayr

17

Sft

cl4

Hc

6K

8-5

1/8

11-Aug-04

San

16

GF

cl4

Hc

5K

8-0

1/12

30-Jul-04

Not

16

GF

cl6

3yHc

3K

9-4

1/14

19-Jul-04

Bev

16

GS

cl6

3yMdHc

3K

9-1

2/20

17-Jun-04

Sth

12

St

cl6

3yHc

3K

9-10

14/20

25-May-04

Rip

10

GF

cl5

3yHc

4K

8-3

9/15

07-May-04

Not

10

Sft

cl6

3yHc

3K

9-0

3/16

01-Mar-04

Cat

6

Gd

cl4

Md

3K

8-11

8/11

Feb-04

Wol

9

Sl

cl4

3yMd

3K

9-0

7/12

28-Oct-03

Not

5

GF

cl4

2yMd

3K

8-9

10/14

06-Oct-03

Wdr

6

GF

cl4

2yMd

3K

8-9

13/16

He has had twenty starts so far and finished in the frame in eleven of those and won seven.

Win strike rate

His good runs (incl wins) / total runs strike rate

7 / 20 = 35%

11 / 20 = 55%

Looking at the main form table above, it is obvious that this horse is progressing so a meaningful class figure cannot be established. We’re not going to see him sprinting again, he’s not run over less than 16F for more than a year. So we need to look to the going for our best guide to form, for this very consistent performer.

"we need to look to the going for our best guide to form, for this very consistent performer."

He has had ten starts on days when the going has been Good to Soft or Softer and ten starts where the going has been firmer than Good to Soft.

Good run to GS strike rate

Good run to firmer than GS strike rate

8 / 10 = 80%

2 / 10 = 20%

Out of his last ten runs, eight have been on days where the going is GS or Softer and five of these have been wins. On his only two starts on Gd / GF he has failed to make the frame.

In summary, I reckon that under the right conditions that this horse could go all the way to the top. He needs his favourite testing ground and a distance where his endless stamina can be brought to bear on his opponents. You could do a lot worse than adding this to your horses to follow list, for both Flat and National Hunt racing.

football-betting Got a question or comment about Strangely Brown? Why not post it in our forum?

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