football-tips


Contents
Home
Bookshop
Football
Newsletter
Other Sports
Tools
Kelly Stakes Calculator
Links
Request a Market at Back and Lay
Odds Converter
Upcoming Games
Weather Forecasts
Horse Racing
Poker
Betting Theory

Recent Forum Posts
7.30 Wolves
- Hi all, Got a good word for ...

How frustrating!
- I was looking at the make up o...

Small multiple today
- Can't see anything to back as ...

Cheltenham 2010
- post your thoughts here

Kempton Feb 27th
- Quite a few horses who will be...


 

online-betting Kelly Stakes Calculator

The following tables may be used to calculate a Kelly stake as a percentage of your betting bank. It should be noted that many people prefer to use a percentage of this figure, as Kelly staking is very aggressive and doesn't account for several bets riding at the same time, i.e. it assumes that each bet is settled before the next one is placed.10%-50% of the recommended Kelly stakes will suit most needs.
To use the tables below, you need two figures

  • The bookies percentage (the inverse of the decimal odds), which you may use the conversion table here.
  • Your estimate of the true chance, which you may calculate from your estimate of the 'fair odds' using the conversion table here.

To use the table, read across the table using the bookies percentage and down the table using your estimate of the fair chance, e.g. with a bookies percentage of 65% and a fair chance of 70% your Kelly stake is 14% of your bank.
A negative percentage indicates that you shouldn't back at these odds - in fact it indicates what amount a layer could risk against you!

Bookies Percentage
  95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50
95 0% 50% 67% 75% 80% 83% 86% 88% 89% 90%
90 -100% 0% 33% 50% 60% 67% 71% 75% 78% 80%
85 -200% -50% 0% 25% 40% 50% 57% 63% 67% 70%
80 -300% -100% -33% 0% 20% 33% 43% 50% 56% 60%
75 -400% -150% -67% -25% 0% 17% 29% 38% 44% 50%
70 -500% -200% -100% -50% -20% 0% 14% 25% 33% 40%
65 -600% -250% -133% -75% -40% -17% 0% 13% 22% 30%
60 -700% -300% -167% -100% -60% -33% -14% 0% 11% 20%
55 -800% -350% -200% -125% -80% -50% -29% -13% 0% 10%
50 -900% -400% -233% -150% -100% -67% -43% -25% -11% 0%
45 -1000% -450% -267% -175% -120% -83% -57% -38% -22% -10%
40 -1100% -500% -300% -200% -140% -100% -71% -50% -33% -20%
35 -1200% -550% -333% -225% -160% -117% -86% -63% -44% -30%
30 -1300% -600% -367% -250% -180% -133% -100% -75% -56% -40%
25 -1400% -650% -400% -275% -200% -150% -114% -88% -67% -50%
20 -1500% -700% -433% -300% -220% -167% -129% -100% -78% -60%
15 -1600% -750% -467% -325% -240% -183% -143% -113% -89% -70%
10 -1700% -800% -500% -350% -260% -200% -157% -125% -100% -80%
5 -1800% -850% -533% -375% -280% -217% -171% -138% -111% -90%

Bookies Percentage
  45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5
95 91% 92% 92% 93% 93% 94% 94% 94% 95%
90 82% 83% 85% 86% 87% 88% 88% 89% 89%
85 73% 75% 77% 79% 80% 81% 82% 83% 84%
80 64% 67% 69% 71% 73% 75% 76% 78% 79%
75 55% 58% 62% 64% 67% 69% 71% 72% 74%
70 45% 50% 54% 57% 60% 63% 65% 67% 68%
65 36% 42% 46% 50% 53% 56% 59% 61% 63%
60 27% 33% 38% 43% 47% 50% 53% 56% 58%
55 18% 25% 31% 36% 40% 44% 47% 50% 53%
50 9% 17% 23% 29% 33% 38% 41% 44% 47%
45 0% 8% 15% 21% 27% 31% 35% 39% 42%
40 -9% 0% 8% 14% 20% 25% 29% 33% 37%
35 -18% -8% 0% 7% 13% 19% 24% 28% 32%
30 -27% -17% -8% 0% 7% 13% 18% 22% 26%
25 -36% -25% -15% -7% 0% 6% 12% 17% 21%
20 -45% -33% -23% -14% -7% 0% 6% 11% 16%
15 -55% -42% -31% -21% -13% -6% 0% 6% 11%
10 -64% -50% -38% -29% -20% -13% -6% 0% 5%
5 -73% -58% -46% -36% -27% -19% -12% -6% 0%

football-betting

Latest Web News
Transfer News

Warning: require_once(feed2js_config.php) [function.require-once]: failed to open stream: No such file or directory in http://www.punters-paradise.com/RSS_feed/feed2php.inc on line 56

Fatal error: require_once() [function.require]: Failed opening required 'feed2js_config.php' (include_path='.:/usr/lib/php:/usr/local/lib/php') in http://www.punters-paradise.com/RSS_feed/feed2php.inc on line 56